Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032197 0.037282 0.042918 0.049630 0.057409 0.066146 0.076712
2026-01-11 0.024107 0.030734 0.038818 0.049413 0.062953 0.079707 0.102057
2026-01-18 0.019638 0.026946 0.036537 0.050067 0.068707 0.093555 0.129317
2026-01-25 0.016848 0.024553 0.035289 0.051378 0.074960 0.108387 0.159612
2026-02-01 0.014020 0.021510 0.032497 0.049839 0.076640 0.116693 0.181482
2026-02-08 0.012150 0.019515 0.030823 0.049515 0.079808 0.127268 0.207852
2026-02-15 0.010628 0.017795 0.029264 0.049035 0.082489 0.137204 0.234309
2026-02-22 0.009632 0.016758 0.028609 0.049849 0.087256 0.150933 0.268689
2026-03-01 0.008616 0.015535 0.027457 0.049614 0.090115 0.161673 0.299179
2026-03-08 0.007590 0.014147 0.025828 0.048283 0.090786 0.168545 0.323447
2026-03-15 0.006699 0.012884 0.024255 0.046824 0.090974 0.174457 0.346535
2026-03-22 0.006213 0.012318 0.023883 0.047559 0.095374 0.188717 0.387585
2026-03-29 0.005699 0.011642 0.023243 0.047728 0.098763 0.201596 0.427990
2026-04-05 0.005232 0.011001 0.022594 0.047798 0.101967 0.214519 0.470347
2026-04-12 0.004879 0.010549 0.022268 0.048490 0.106541 0.230810 0.522159
2026-04-19 0.004615 0.010253 0.022226 0.049772 0.112538 0.250843 0.585017
2026-04-26 0.004145 0.009448 0.021000 0.048284 0.112164 0.256825 0.616449
2026-05-03 0.003820 0.008927 0.020332 0.047971 0.114428 0.269003 0.664154
2026-05-10 0.003518 0.008420 0.019638 0.047506 0.116261 0.280385 0.711461
2026-05-17 0.003329 0.008160 0.019479 0.048294 0.121211 0.299771 0.781455
2026-05-24 0.003093 0.007756 0.018934 0.048067 0.123608 0.313202 0.837992
2026-05-31 0.002818 0.007222 0.018012 0.046778 0.123139 0.319382 0.876216
2026-06-07 0.002563 0.006709 0.017086 0.045365 0.122169 0.324150 0.911289